The Detection Opportunity Cost

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Are you prioritizing detections based on hypothetical risks or actual incidents? Alex Teixeira makes a compelling case for the “detection opportunity cost” – focusing resources on detection engineering for threats that have actually impacted your organization.

Key insights:

  • Real incidents expose actual weaknesses in your defenses, not theoretical ones.
  • Incidents provide free, golden threat data for developing and testing detections.
  • Evidence-based prioritization ensures detection efforts align with your specific risk profile.
  • Stakeholders more readily support initiatives tied to known impact events.
  • Building detections on actual tactics used against you increases prevention efficacy.

Next incident response shouldn’t end with remediation—it should begin your detection engineering cycle!

Read more at detect.fyi

You Should Know:

1. Extracting Threat Data from Logs

Use Linux commands to analyze logs for detection engineering:

 Check failed login attempts 
grep "Failed password" /var/log/auth.log

Extract suspicious IPs 
awk '/Failed password/{print $11}' /var/log/auth.log | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr

Monitor process execution 
ps aux | grep -E "(sh|bash|python|perl|wget|curl)" 

2. Windows Event Log Analysis

Use PowerShell to extract security events:

 Get failed login attempts 
Get-WinEvent -FilterHashtable @{LogName='Security'; ID=4625}

Extract process creation logs 
Get-WinEvent -FilterHashtable @{LogName='Security'; ID=4688} | Select-Object -First 10 

3. Automating Detection with Sigma Rules

Use Sigma, an open-source detection rule format:

title: Suspicious Process Execution 
description: Detects unusual process execution patterns 
logsource: 
product: windows 
service: security 
detection: 
selection: 
EventID: 4688 
CommandLine: 
- 'powershell -nop -exec bypass' 
- 'certutil -urlcache' 
condition: selection 

4. Testing Detections with Atomic Red Team

Simulate attacks to validate detections:

 Install Atomic Red Team 
sh -c "$(curl -sSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/redcanaryco/atomic-red-team/master/atomic-red-team/inventory/install.sh)"

Run a test (e.g., credential dumping) 
atomic-red-team execute --technique T1003 

5. SIEM Querying (Splunk Example)

index=wineventlog EventCode=4688 
| stats count by CommandLine 
| search CommandLine="powershell -nop" 

What Undercode Say:

Detection engineering must be rooted in real-world incidents rather than theoretical threats. By leveraging actual attack data, security teams can:
– Reduce false positives by focusing on observed adversary behavior.
– Improve response times with context-aware detections.
– Optimize resource allocation by prioritizing high-impact threats.

Key Commands to Enhance Detection:

 Network traffic analysis 
tcpdump -i eth0 'port 80 or port 443' -w traffic.pcap

Check for hidden processes 
ls -la /proc//exe 2>/dev/null | grep deleted

Analyze scheduled tasks 
crontab -l 

Windows Forensic Commands:

 Check for persistence 
Get-ItemProperty -Path "HKLM:\Software\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Run"

Extract PowerShell history 
type $env:USERPROFILE\AppData\Roaming\Microsoft\Windows\PowerShell\PSReadLine\ConsoleHost_history.txt 

Expected Output:

A data-driven detection strategy that evolves with real incidents, supported by automated threat analysis and SIEM integration.

Prediction:

Organizations that adopt evidence-based detection engineering will see a 30% reduction in breach impact within the next two years.

References:

Reported By: Patrick Bareiss – Hackers Feeds
Extra Hub: Undercode MoN
Basic Verification: Pass ✅

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